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mactanfamily

Strongest hurricane on record set to smash Mexico

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mactanfamily

Patricia, a Category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 200 mph, will bring catastrophic wind and storm surge damage to southwestern Mexico later Friday into Friday night.


Patricia also became the strongest hurricane on record passing both Linda in the eastern Pacific and Wilma in the Atlantic. Over 24 inches of rain is possible, especially over the higher terrain.


"Manzanillo sits right in the center of a bay," AccuWeather Meteorologist Rob Miller explains. "Even though much of the city is not situated right on the beach, a significant storm surge of 20 to 25 feet is likely."


This is always a horrible feeling just knowing that hundreds to thousands of people are about to die. The coast is going to be destroyed and the flooding and mudslides are going to be catastrophic all the way through Texas.


Praying for the poor souls that couldn't get out as well as the idiots who wouldn't. 


1358.jpg?w=620&q=85&auto=format&sharp=10


 


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Tullioz
Fortunately for those who are in the path of the storm it is starting to weaken. It's still going to be bad, but not nearly as bad as it could have been. The pressure has come up 21 millibars in just the past 3 hours which is actually pretty fast. It will take a little while, but the winds will start decreasing quickly as well. They are already 10 mph lower than they were at the storms peak. For comparison, Yolanda had winds of 195 mph/315kph and a pressure of 895 millibars. This storm will not be near as strong as Yolanda by the time it makes landfall in a few hours.

 

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...18.2N 105.3W

ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...200 MPH...325 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...879 MB...25.96 INCHES

 

 

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...18.9N 105.2W

ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...190 MPH...305 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...900 MB...26.58 INCHES

 

This is the latest satellite picture of current hurricane on the left as it is about to make landfall in comparison to Yolanda as it approached the Philippines on the right.

 

post-15209-0-54415400-1445636633_thumb.jpg

 

 

 

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CavLancer

Wow! I have an amigo used to like to go to Baja, hope he's not there now. Is it going north towards Baja or straight in? Well I guess I can google that. :) Thanks for the info!

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Tullioz

This is always a horrible feeling just knowing that hundreds to thousands of people are about to die. The coast is going to be destroyed and the flooding and mudslides are going to be catastrophic all the way through Texas.

Praying for the poor souls that couldn't get out as well as the idiots who wouldn't. 

 

Storms that hit the west coast of Mexico are not known for high death tolls so hundreds of thousands is quite a stretch. It will be bad, but no where near that bad thank God. 

 

post-15209-0-11242800-1445637496_thumb.jpg

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Pacific_hurricanes

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liquido

I went through Hurricane Wilma when I had an apartment in Cozumel back in 2005..I was on the third floor of a concrete building thank god...The amazing thing was cell phone service was working the next day... 

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Tullioz

Here is another comparison between the current storm and Yolanda. The picture on the left is just a few minutes old. It's not nearly as impressive as Yolanda was.

 

post-15209-0-69904400-1445639217_thumb.jpg

Edited by Tullioz

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mactanfamily

 

 

hundreds of thousands is quite a stretch

 

I said a hundred TO thousands. Not hundreds OF thousands.

A mudslide can take out thousands in one shot, so I hope your right but there is no way you can be so sure. Strongest on record, there are going to be quite a few deaths unfortunately. It's really going to come down to how well the government can get people off the coast and out of hazard flood and mudslide areas....I have no idea how well mexico can do that.

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Nangulo

 

 

Storms that hit the west coast of Mexico are not known for high death tolls so hundreds of thousands is quite a stretch. It will be bad, but no where near that bad thank God. 

 

Re-read.  It said, "hundreds to thousands," not hundreds of thousands.

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montserrat

the storm has just arrived. It will be a few hours before the amount of damage becomes apparent. I don't think it will be all that much. Mexico is the much richer country and is better prepared than the Philippines.

Edited by montserrat

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colemanlee

the storm has just arrived. It will be a few hours before the amount of damage becomes apparent. I don't think it will be all that much. Mexico is the much richer country and is better prepared than the Philippines.

Hopefully

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SkyMan

 

 

For comparison, Yolanda had winds of 195 mph/315kph and a pressure of 895 millibars. This storm will not be near as strong as Yolanda by the time it makes landfall in a few hours.
Probably because there's a lot more land to slow down Patricia before the eye hits than Yolanda had.

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Tullioz

I said a hundred TO thousands. Not hundreds OF thousands.

A mudslide can take out thousands in one shot, so I hope your right but there is no way you can be so sure. Strongest on record, there are going to be quite a few deaths unfortunately. It's really going to come down to how well the government can get people off the coast and out of hazard flood and mudslide areas....I have no idea how well mexico can do that.

 

Sorry for the misunderstanding. I misread the words. Hopefully things will not be so bad since it was weakening at landfall and it is moving pretty fast. It is hard to see the center now and it is well inland, so with the fast movement hopefully rainfall totals will not be too high and the threat of mudslides will also be reduced. here is the latest satellite and forecast. 

 

post-15209-0-90203000-1445668445_thumb.jpg

 

post-15209-0-88848200-1445668715_thumb.jpg

Edited by Tullioz

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Tullioz
Mega-Storm Patricia Drenches Mexico, Raising Flooding Fears

 Oct 24, 2015, 2:23 AM ET

 

Hurricane Patricia pushed inland over a mountainous region of small hamlets in western Mexico early Saturday, weakening from its record-breaking strength but still powerful as it dumped torrential rains that authorities warned could cause deadly floods and mudslides.

 

Patricia, which peaked as the strongest hurricane on record in the Western Hemisphere, made landfall Friday on a sparsely populated stretch of Mexico's Pacific coast as a Category 5 storm, avoiding direct hits on the resort city of Puerto Vallarta and major port city of Manzanillo.

 

There were early reports of some flooding and landslides, but no word of fatalities or major damage as the storm moved over inland mountains overnight. Television news reports from the coast showed toppled trees and lampposts, and inundated streets. Milenio TV carried footage of cars and buses being swept by floodwaters in the state of Jalisco.

 

"The first reports confirm that the damage has been less than those expected from a hurricane of this magnitude," President Enrique Pena Nieto said in a taped address late Friday. He added, however, that "we cannot yet let our guard down."

 

Patricia weakened to a Category 2 hurricane early Saturday with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph (155 kph) and was expected to dissipate over Mexico's inland mountains, becoming a tropical storm later in the day. Its center was about 135 miles (215 kilometers) southwest of Zacatecas, Mexico.

 

Tourist Brandie Galle of Grants Pass, Oregon said she had been sheltered with other guests in a ballroom with boarded-up windows at the Hard Rock Hotel in Puerto Vallarta. When the city was not feeling any major effects from the storm two hours after landfall, workers let them out to eat at a hotel restaurant.

 

"They said it looked like the storm had hit below us," she said. "Everyone is starting to perk up a little bit but still kind of on edge waiting to see what's going to happen with the storm."

 

Galle said some guests desperate to leave had earlier paid $400 for taxis to drive them the 120 miles (200 kilometers) to the inland city of Guadalajara.

 

The airports in Puerto Vallarta, Manzanillo and Tepic were closed Friday, but officials announced an air bridge Saturday to ferry stranded travelers out of areas hit by the storm.

 

Residents and tourists had hunkered down in shelters and homes along a coastal stretch dotted with sleepy fishing villages and gleaming resorts. In Puerto Vallarta, residents had reinforced homes with sandbags and shop windows with boards and tape, and hotels rolled up beachfront restaurants.

 

The Sokols, a family of five from suburban Detroit, were supposed to fly out of Puerto Vallarta on Friday but ended up for hours in a shelter at a university after their flight was canceled. By night they were back where they began: at their hotel, and no worse for wear.

 

"It's amazing it went from the worst in history to just some heavy rain," Susanna Sokol said, noting that at least the hurricane gave her daughter a birthday to remember.

 

"It was pretty stressful for a while," Tom Sokol said. "I felt guilty for taking my kids here."

 

Patricia formed suddenly Tuesday as a tropical storm and quickly strengthened to a hurricane. Within 30 hours it had zoomed to a Category 5 storm, catching many off guard with its rapid growth.

 

By Friday it was the most powerful recorded hurricane to hit the hemisphere, with a central pressure of 880 millibars and maximum sustained winds of 200 mph (325 kph), according to the National Hurricane Center.

 

Patricia's power while still out at sea was comparable to that of Typhoon Haiyan, which left more than 7,300 dead or missing in the Philippines two years ago, according to the U.N.'s World Meteorological Organization. More than 4 million people were displaced and over 1 million houses were destroyed or damaged in 44 provinces in the central Visayas region, a large cluster of islands.

 

Mexican officials declared a state of emergency in dozens of municipalities in Colima, Nayarit and Jalisco states, and schools were closed. Many residents bought supplies ahead of Patricia's arrival. Authorities opened hundreds of shelters and announced plans to shut off electricity as a safety precaution.

 

One of the worst Pacific hurricanes to ever hit Mexico slammed into the same region, in Colima state, in October 1959, killing at least 1,500 people, according to Mexico's National Center for Disaster Prevention.

 

U.S. State Department spokesman Mark Toner said tens of thousands of American citizens were believed to be vacationing or living in areas likely to be affected by the storm.

 

Patricia also threatens Texas with forecasters saying that even after the storm breaks, up its tropical moisture will likely feed heavy rains already soaking the state.

 

The U.S. National Weather Service said a flash flood watch would be in effect through Sunday morning for Dallas-Fort Worth, Austin and San Antonio.

 

A coastal flood warning was in effect through Friday night in Corpus Christi. Galveston was under a coastal flood advisory until Saturday night.


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musicman666

the storm has just arrived. It will be a few hours before the amount of damage becomes apparent. I don't think it will be all that much. Mexico is the much richer country and is better prepared than the Philippines.

Yes ...like the third little pig they built their houses out of bricks not straw.

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musicman666

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-106.07,18.32,403

 

I was trying to follow this particular hurricane on this website ....but it never showed it as being anything much ...unlike the phillipines that always seems to get all the colours ...ie a real bitch of a storm coming?

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