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Earhart update,,, in prep for Niku VIII expedition.


Mr. Mike

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Mr. Mike
Here’s where things stand.
 
We’re finishing up our analysis of the results of the Niku VII expedition. We should have the report ready for release soon. So far I can tell you that there are some really interesting targets out there that we didn’t know about and didn’t get to investigate.  I think you can guess how I feel about that.

There are also new (and very cool) developments in the analysis of artifacts and materials from the Seven Site.  We’re working on the reports/press releases now.

We are, of course, eager to get back to Niku but there are milestones and toll booths on the road to Niku VIII.  I want the Forum to know what happened last year so that you all know why we’re proceeding the way we are. This is the first time I’ve talked about this publicly.

Our original plan was to do a hi-tech deep water search in the summer of 2013. In September 2011, at my request, the Assistant Secretary of State for East Asia and the Pacific Islands arranged for the State Dept. photo analysts to look at the Bevington Photo.  In November 2011 they briefed me and said they agreed with Jeff Glickman’s assessment that the object in the photo appears to be the wreckage of Electra landing gear.

In January 2012, as a thank you, I invited the Assistant Secretary to be Guest of Honor at our planned Earhart Search 75 symposium in June.  As an afterthought, I also mentioned the photo analysis results.  In late February 2012 the Assistant Secretary called me in and made TIGHAR “an offer we couldn’t refuse.”  He informed me that he had assurances of sponsorship and in-kind support from several major corporations adequate to cover the costs of a hi-tech deep water search. The Secretary of State herself would endorse our work and announce our deep water search at a special, high-profile press event in March.  The catch was that we had to do the expedition asap, preferably in April.  Throwing together such a complex operation that fast was out of the question, so we settled on July, the 75th anniversary of the disappearance. 

In retrospect, a couple of things are clear.  The State Dept. push to do the expedition in 2012 was because they knew that, regardless of the outcome of the November election, Secretary Clinton and her appointees wouldn’t be there in 2013.  It also later became obvious that the State Dept.’s primary interest was not the expedition, the outcome of which was beyond anyone’s control. The pay-off for them was the positive publicity from the March press event, which was much more a sure thing.  The event was a huge success but, after that, State was done.  Lockheed Martin and FedEx came through as promised but the rest of State’s assurances of corporate sponsorships never materialized. We were on our own with commitments made, contracts signed, but only a fraction of the budget raised.
Over the next few months Tim Mellon and Discovery stepped forward with major contributions and public grassroots support was strong, but I was still frantically fund raising as KOK steamed south in July. In the end, we were able to raise most, but not all, of the $2,000,000 expedition budget.  The first step on the road to Niku VIII is, therefore, to pay off the debt from Niku VII.

At the same time, we’re going to do Confidence Assessment of the many threads of evidence in this complex 25-years-and-counting investigation.  This will be done as a series of questions such as:

• How confident are we that Earhart had enough fuel to reach Gardner Island?

• How confident are we that Earhart was sending radio distress calls in the days following her disappearance?

• How confident are we that the Bevington Object is wreckage from the Earhart Electra?

You get the idea.  The point is to review and quantify the credibility of each pillar of support for the Niku Hypothesis.  The “we” in all this is the TIGHAR Board of Directors because we’re the one who make the decisions, but recognizing that, despite our best efforts and intentions, we may be less than totally objective, we’re recruiting the help of unbiased outside experts.  We’re lining up some really good people.  We’ll let you know who they are.

We’ll also be asking for your Confidence Assessment for each question because, at the end of the day, it’s your opinion that really counts. Without the financial support of the community of people who care about solving the Earhart mystery, what we think doesn’t matter.  We’re still putting together the mechanics of how the Confidence Assessment will work.  Stay tuned for more details.

I’m telling you all this because we need to get serious about getting started down the road to Niku VIII and that means raising money.  We have kept fund raising pitches off the Forum and I very much prefer it that way, as I’m sure you do, but I assume you’re all here because you find value here.  Maybe it’s a lifelong passion for the Earhart mystery, maybe it’s intellectual stimulation, maybe it’s the satisfaction of participation in an epic quest, maybe it’s entertainment, or maybe it’s just an opportunity to rattle my chain.  Whatever you get from this Forum, whether you’re one of the 892 registered Forum members or one of the untold thousands who just read the postings, you’re a powerful force and we need your help now.
 
c/p from TIGHAR
 
 
THIS IS NOT A SOLICITATION, JUST AN UPDATE...MRMIKE


 


 

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Edited by Mr. Mike
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BossHog

Who is this missing person?

 

If she's a juvenile you could try putting her picture on milk cartons or something, but...

 

She's probably fine and just ran off to be a groupie with Metallica or some shiznit.

 

Girls will be girls.

 

Try not to worry so much.

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SkyMan

Who is this missing person?

 

If she's a juvenile you could try putting her picture on milk cartons or something, but...

 

She's probably fine and just ran off to be a groupie with Metallica or some shiznit.

 

Girls will be girls.

 

Try not to worry so much.

Wow!?!

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Mr. Mike

..........no old "Earhart mystery" fans here!

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samatm

Hi Mike,   this is  posted as an update.  Do you have links to the origianal thread about the Earhart project.   That would help us get a better understanding of your involvement.    If not  a little more background on project would help.  How did you get involved.

 

I saw the movie a while back ..but it was very fluffy and the ending  well.. needed more explanation. 

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Mr. Mike

http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/AEdescr

 

Twenty plus years of  investigation, expeditions,  documents, testimonies, and pictures,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,all in the quest to find out what really happened to Earhart and her navigator. The Tighar site is the most documented, and dedicated effort to solve the mystery. She either ran out of fuel and ditched into the pacific(dead right there) or,,,,,,,,,,,,she landed on Gardner island (Niku) and survived for ............awhile! 

 

The Tighar site is deep and wide,,,,you could spend weeks reading the documentation,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Edited by Mr. Mike
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samatm

http://tighar.org/Projects/Earhart/AEdescr

 

 

The Tighar site is deep and wide,,,,you could spend weeks reading the documentation,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Thanks for the warning ... I better  stay away for now as i have pressing things to take care of.   I  might even have to block LinC forum as it is consuming too much time. :) 

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Guy60417

..........no old "Earhart mystery" fans here!

 

I find it interesting, though I'm not as immersed in it as you seem to be -- we all have our hobbies.

 

Thanks for the update.

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Bill H

Very interesting in deed.  My money is on she landed there and survived for a time.  I'm just curious why no one thought to visit the place when they were searching for her.  Was there a reason for that?

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Mr. Mike

The navy did a cursory air search in the days following, but airborne search and rescue was pretty primitive at that time. It is believed that the Electra sat just below the high tide mark, meaning at high tide, its landing gear might have been in some water, and at low tide it was high and dry. In either state, it allowed them to run the engines to power their radio, thus the several post loss radio intercepts. How anyone in a plane could have missed the Electra sitting on the coral beach is a mystery, but if the SAR pilot was inexperienced, and it was a sunny day, it is very possible to have overlooked it. Over time the plane was battered by storms, and was slowly pulled into the sea by tidal action.

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tom_shor

It would be nice if someone could remember what happened to the bones they dug up there before WWII. That would probably answer everything.

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  • 1 month later...
Mr. Mike

http://tighar.org/smf/index.php/topic,1140.0.html

 

Sonar target.......above is a blog discussion regarding a sonar anomaly recently found after further frame by frame examination of some of the side scan sonar data from last years expedition. It appears very promising. TIGHAR has imaging and sonar specialists on the team and they feel this might be a portion of the Electra's fuselage. I have a hard time seeing it but it is definitely out of place

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  • 3 weeks later...

Mike, I knew you interested in Amilia Earhart, But I didn't realize you were involved directly---good luck

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samatm

I am confused,   TIGHAR is being sued for not disclosing the wreck earlier as if it had conclusive evidence they had already found the  Electra.   Isn't all still presumptions to think that the Electra has been found or is the group pretty sure they have indeed found the Electra.         

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