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More foreigners to leave PH until year-end


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softail

The Bureau of Immigration (BI) expects that more foreigners would be leaving the Philippines by the end of 2020.

According to BI Commissioner Jaime Morente shared, only a total of 1.5 million foreign nationals entered the country. The majority of that number arrived before the implementation of the travel restrictions. In contrast, almost 2 million foreign nationals left the country during the same period.

The exodus, according to Morente, is an effect of the COVID-19 pandemic, which triggered travel restrictions worldwide.

“Similar to our overseas Filipino workers who wished to come home to their families during the pandemic, a lot of foreign nationals left as well,” said Morente. “A lot of businesses closed, which also affected the foreign community in the Philippines,” he added.

Topping the list of foreigners departures were Koreans with more than 400,000 exits, Americans and Chinese with around 300,000 departures, and Japanese with more than 166,000 exits.

Morente noted that a significant number of Chinese nationals had exited the country due to the pandemic.

According to BI records, as of mid-September, less than 500,000 Chinese nationals are said to be in the Philippines.

Data show that from 2013 to 2019, a total of 6.4 million Chinese nationals arrived in the country, while more than 5.4 million exited during the same period.

“In 2020, due to the pandemic, for the first time, we’ve seen more departures of foreign nationals than arrivals,” said Morente.

Morente bared that 188,517 Chinese nationals arrived in the country from January to September 2020. On the other hand, a total of 292,669 Chinese nationals departed during the same period.

If we look at the difference of the figures from 2013 to 2020, only 475,129 Chinese nationals from this period are left in the country,” said Morente. He clarified, however, that the figures do not reflect those who came in before 2013.

The BI chief sees that the exodus of foreigners will have a major impact on the country’s tourism industry.

“The government had made significant strides in improving tourism,” said Morente. “However, this pandemic proved to counter all previous efforts,” he added.

“You can see the effect,” said Morente. “Areas that were once booming with foreign tourists, workers, or students are now empty. We’re hoping that little by little, the confidence of foreign nationals to visit our country, invest here, work here, or study here be renewed as we work to fight this pandemic,” he stated.

https://philippineslifestyle.com/more-foreigners-leave-ph-until-year-end/

 

 

 

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SkyMan
32 minutes ago, softail said:

We’re hoping that little by little, the confidence of foreign nationals to visit our country, invest here, work here, or study here be renewed as we work to fight this pandemic,” he stated.

No way that will happen until foreigners are allowed to return.  Until then you're hoping in the wind.

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to_dave007
47 minutes ago, SkyMan said:

No way that will happen until foreigners are allowed to return.  Until then you're hoping in the wind.

Also won't happen until the requirement for a 14 day Quarantine disappears.

The IATA forecasts a slow recovery....

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Geneva - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released an updated global passenger forecast showing that the recovery in traffic has been slower than had been expected.

In the base case scenario:

Global passenger traffic (revenue passenger kilometers or RPKs) will not return to pre-COVID-19 levels until 2024, a year later than previously projected.

The recovery in short haul travel is still expected to happen faster than for long haul travel. As a result, passenger numbers will recover faster than traffic measured in RPKs. Recovery to pre-COVID-19 levels, however, will also slide by a year from 2022 to 2023. For 2020, global passenger numbers (enplanements) are expected to decline by 55% compared to 2019, worsened from the April forecast of 46%.
June 2020 passenger traffic foreshadowed the slower-than-expected recovery. Traffic, measures in RPK, fell 86.5% compared to the year-ago period. That is only slightly improved from a 91.0% contraction in May. This was driven by rising demand in domestic markets, particularly China. The June load factor set an all-time low for the month at 57.6%.

The more pessimistic recovery outlook is based on a number of recent trends:

Slow virus containment in the US and developing economies: Although developed economies outside of the US have been largely successful in containing the spread of the virus, renewed outbreaks have occurred in these economies, and in China. Furthermore there is little sign of virus containment in many important emerging economies, which in combination with the US, represent around 40% of global air travel markets. Their continued closure, particularly to international travel, is a significant drag on recovery.
Reduced corporate travel: Corporate travel budgets are expected to be very constrained as companies continue to be under financial pressure even as the economy improves. In addition, while historically GDP growth and air travel have been highly correlated, surveys suggest this link has weakened, particularly with regard to business travel, as video conferencing appears to have made significant inroads as a substitute for in-person meetings.
Weak consumer confidence: While pent-up demand exists for VFR (visiting friends and relatives) and leisure travel, consumer confidence is weak in the face of concerns over job security and rising unemployment, as well as risks of catching COVID-19. Some 55% of respondents to IATA’s June passenger survey don’t plan to travel in 2020.
Owing to these factors, IATA’s revised baseline forecast is for global enplanements to fall 55% in 2020 compared to 2019 (the April forecast was for a 46% decline). Passenger numbers are expected to rise 62% in 2021 off the depressed 2020 base, but still will be down almost 30% compared to 2019. A full recovery to 2019 levels is not expected until 2023, one year later than previously forecast.

Meanwhile, since domestic markets are opening ahead of international markets, and because passengers appear to prefer short haul travel in the current environment, RPKs will recover more slowly, with passenger traffic expected to return to 2019 levels in 2024, one year later than previously forecast. Scientific advances in fighting COVID-19 including development of a successful vaccine, could allow a faster recovery. However, at present there appears to be more downside risk than upside to the baseline forecast.

“Passenger traffic hit bottom in April, but the strength of the upturn has been very weak. What improvement we have seen has been domestic flying. International markets remain largely closed. Consumer confidence is depressed and not helped by the UK’s weekend decision to impose a blanket quarantine on all travelers returning from Spain. And in many parts of the world infections are still rising. All of this points to a longer recovery period and more pain for the industry and the global economy,” said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA’s Director General and CEO.

“For airlines, this is bad news that points to the need for governments to continue with relief measures—financial and otherwise. A full Northern Winter season waiver on the 80-20 use-it-or-lose it slot rule, for example, would provide critical relief to airlines in planning schedules amid unpredictable demand patterns. Airlines are planning their schedules. They need to keep sharply focused on meeting demand and not meeting slot rules that were never meant to accommodate the sharp fluctuations of a crisis. The earlier we know the slot rules the better, but we are still waiting for governments in key markets to confirm a waiver,” said de Juniac.

Full article....   https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/pr/2020-07-28-02/

 

Edited by to_dave007
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cvgtpc1
1 hour ago, SkyMan said:

No way that will happen until foreigners are allowed to return.  Until then you're hoping in the wind.

Allowing Balikbayan would be a nice start.

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Goetz1965

I cant leave now as my passport is sent to the PRA.
As long they dont send it back now - I only hope that one day in the future they find it again under all the papers they piled up in the last month... Lol

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I reckon there is a good chance that we have seen the end of the 30 day visa waivers for all time..
All tourist visas will continue to be acquired and paid for at Phil embassies abroad IMO.
 

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to_dave007
32 minutes ago, fred42 said:

I reckon there is a good chance that we have seen the end of the 30 day visa waivers for all time..
All tourist visas will continue to be acquired and paid for at Phil embassies abroad IMO.

Don't agree.  This country wants the millions of visitors that come each year for 30 days or less.  They'll reinstate the 30 day visa waiver as soon as the covid situation permits.

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HongKongPhooey
9 hours ago, softail said:

Similar to our overseas Filipino workers who wished to come home to their families during the pandemic

Not sure either of the OFW or their families “wished” them to come home in most cases.

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SkyMan
8 hours ago, cvgtpc1 said:

Allowing Balikbayan would be a nice start.

Technically, if you previously qualified as a BB you're allowed back as a tourist. 

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to_dave007
5 hours ago, SkyMan said:

Technically, if you previously qualified as a BB you're allowed back as a tourist. 

I wouldn't think that "previous" rules still apply during COVID time.  After it's over maybe..  but I wouldn't count on it now.

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cvgtpc1
8 hours ago, SkyMan said:

Technically, if you previously qualified as a BB you're allowed back as a tourist. 

I meant like before, just fly in with your spouse and you're good, no visa.

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SkyMan
1 minute ago, cvgtpc1 said:

I meant like before, just fly in with your spouse and you're good, no visa.

That's the new BB privilege.  You can get in when most others can't. 

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Dafey

Actually if you are a former BB makes no difference. You need to secure a tourist visa from the embassy at home before traveling to the Philippines. BB is temporarily suspended. The reason they let you in is because you are married to a Philippines citizen.

If you are in country on BB you can extend on a tourist visa for up to 3 years, a few months at a time.

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What surprised me, looking at the BI Facebook page, was the number of different types of visa with which foreigners CAN enter the Philippines (other than being related to a Filipino). 

EC42C892-4D5B-49B5-8F83-97189894C7C1.thumb.png.f1e9c4673071ea31e563a0acbd0a16f3.png

Then there is also news of efforts to update the Immigration Act with the “Immigration Modernization Bill”. 
I haven’t seen any information that suggests intent to rationalize the number and types of visa but would anyone care to bet against the law of unintended consequences?

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1 hour ago, Paddy said:

What surprised me, looking at the BI Facebook page, was the number of different types of visa with which foreigners CAN enter the Philippines (other than being related to a Filipino). 

EC42C892-4D5B-49B5-8F83-97189894C7C1.thumb.png.f1e9c4673071ea31e563a0acbd0a16f3.png

Then there is also news of efforts to update the Immigration Act with the “Immigration Modernization Bill”. 
I haven’t seen any information that suggests intent to rationalize the number and types of visa but would anyone care to bet against the law of unintended consequences?

Seems they are pushing the "Native born visa"  instead of the BB privilege that most returning natural-born Filipinos previously used.
More cash up front for B.I!! 

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