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Tropical Depression Forming Invest 94W (26 Apr 2020)


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Paddy

I see it in Windy’s forecast but nothing in Pagasa or Typhoon2000. 
 

Most of Windy’s forecasts go out about 1 week. This weather is 9 days out. Reality will be a decent test of the weather model that Windy uses. 
 

Worth keeping an eye on at this point. Just in case. 

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Paddy

Windy is still showing some rotation for May 5 - but at reduced intensity

A242C293-8418-4C9B-9BB8-112F2D581591.thumb.jpeg.ddd7848a9fcb2055e4801670a1b816e5.jpeg

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BossHog

Good very current summary along with an explanation of why to avoid sharing Windy images and 'data'.

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Paddy

Windy seems to have changed its mind about May 5. Now looking more like a normal day in paradise...

However, their model now shows a bit of weather forming for later this week and over the weekend. 
 

Pagasa still nothing. Typhoon2000 believes “Formation of a significant Tropical Cyclone is possible over or near the Republic of Palau between May 01 to 03”

Sorry - can’t upload the pics today. The forum software and my iPhone don’t seem to want to speak the same language for some reason. 

 

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MickyG

good news i have blamed him for us not getting the plants watered...The boss is unhappy with him now and not me, its all good:))

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BossHog

2:10 PM today (Wednesday):

se2_b13_0600.thumb.jpg.e4ece5d7a6092a97cf1669f6da6936d2.jpg

Should be an LPA rainmaker for Mindanao late in the weekend and Central Visayas early next week. Tropical depression possible at its strongest but definitely not a typhoon.

94W_gefs_latest.thumb.png.1ec069a577e1593ce6b56c80b04a7a30.png

 

Edited by BossHog
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to_dave007

so I might get a full tank..  right?  looks like it'll pass almost directly over here.

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BossHog

As of 2 PM today according to the JTWC...

"1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:

 (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.2N 131.8E, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS."

Still gonna rain though, lol...

2028378148_rb-l(1).gif.33db2efa065184dbe3244670c70f6bee.gif

 

Edited by BossHog
edited to reflect JTWC correction
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Paddy

I think we’re getting that rain now 😀

Actually not a bad thing. We’ve had several weeks of beautiful weather. 

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