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MickyG

New Storm (23 Dec 2018)

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MickyG

Looks like a low pressure area tracking to Leyte and Samar for Friday. May be as windy as it is wet.

 

Presently at 8.09 N  135.99 E  at 25km/h

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Woolf

That one could give a bit of water

press the arrow at bottom left

https://www.windy.com/?10.466,130.616,7

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shadow

Any new insights from the experts on this one? We are supposedly heading to Camiguin Thursday for arrival Friday...

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MickyG

Wet and Windy is the insight, still on track for Leyte and Samar then into southern Bicol

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shadow
9 minutes ago, MickyG said:

Wet and Windy is the insight, still on track for Leyte and Samar then into southern Bicol

Thanks. I don't care about wet, this is a business trip, not a vacation. All I am concerned about is are the boats going to run down here. They tend to shut the boats down when the ocean is perfectly flat here, if there is a small ripple on the water in Tacloban 300 km to the north.

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Dafey

It won't be 'Horrible' but yes...the ferries will likely cancel. Have a good backup plan.

image.thumb.png.563479e196d57c23ecc1d5198a286781.png

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SkyMan
9 hours ago, Dafey said:

Have a good backup plan.

What would you propose as a backup plan for traveling to or from Camiguin?

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shadow
1 hour ago, SkyMan said:

What would you propose as a backup plan for traveling to or from Camiguin?

Our backup plan is to wait it out, if we get there. We have at least two days work there. By then the storm will be past.

But not looking very promising, at present.

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BossHog

Should start seeing some weather by tomorrow (the 27th). Nothing drastic by any means but quite probably some boats will be stuck in port.

download.jpg.b3622f56b7564f960528558b7fb5a210.jpg

wp3518.thumb.gif.1f09e7dec85d02a41c549d3a859cee57.gif

Edited by BossHog
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BossHog

@shadow

From Pagasa...

Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal #1 (TCWS#1) may be raised over the provinces in Eastern Visayas and northern Caraga tomorrow Wednesday (December 26) or Thursday (December 27) . Possible disruption in maritime travel should be expected in these areas.

"USMAN" has no direct effect on any part of the country at the moment. However moderate to heavy rains associated with this Tropical Depression may begin affecting Bicol Region, Eastern Visayas, Surigao del Norte and Dinagat Islands by tomorrow evening (December 26) or Thursday morning (December 27).

http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin

Edited by BossHog
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shadow

Not going, if we left today, we would not get there until tomorrow noon. Cutting it too fine, no desire to be stuck on Bohol.

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Dafey
11 hours ago, SkyMan said:

What would you propose as a backup plan for traveling to or from Camiguin?

Have a good book handy...maybe 2

image.thumb.png.fc6de4aa2a13c560e8e168e5b9ea7461.pngAs of 5 AM 12/26

 

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Jim Sibbick
7 hours ago, BossHog said:

@shadow

From Pagasa...

Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal #1 (TCWS#1) may be raised over the provinces in Eastern Visayas and northern Caraga tomorrow Wednesday (December 26) or Thursday (December 27) . Possible disruption in maritime travel should be expected in these areas.

"USMAN" has no direct effect on any part of the country at the moment. However moderate to heavy rains associated with this Tropical Depression may begin affecting Bicol Region, Eastern Visayas, Surigao del Norte and Dinagat Islands by tomorrow evening (December 26) or Thursday morning (December 27).

http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin

Our boat departs 9pm for Palompon Leyte, arriving 3am tomorrow, As at time of posting, our boat is still running. So no declaration yet.

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shadow
59 minutes ago, Jim Sibbick said:

Our boat departs 9pm for Palompon Leyte, arriving 3am tomorrow, As at time of posting, our boat is still running. So no declaration yet.

Yeah, but our last leg is Jagna Bohol to Camiguin, at 9 am on Friday...

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SkyMan

image.thumb.png.a4c85f0612ea0eb2b2c83bfb481c5203.png

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BossHog

""USMAN" may intensify into a Tropical Storm prior to landfall over Eastern Samar tomorrow (28 December)."

track.thumb.png.84a4aebca88eee10f144fca175ca4c99.png

 

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BossHog

Areas currently under signal #1 (i.e. no boat travel) as of 5 AM on the 27th:

Sorsogon and Masbate including Ticao Island

Eastern Samar, Northern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, and Northern Cebu including Camotes Islands.

Dinagat Island

Edited by BossHog
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Woolf

SunStar

https://www.sunstar.com.ph/article/1780243/Cebu/Local-News/Boat-trips-cancelled-due-to-Usman
 

Quote

 

Boat trips cancelled due to "Usman"

JOSHUA G. SOLANO

December 27, 2018

BOAT trips from Cebu to some areas in the country will be cancelled due to Tropical Depression "Usman" which is seen to intensify into a tropical storm Thursday, December 27, 2018.

The Cebu Port Authority announced the cancellation of some trips since December 26, as Tropical Depression Usman maintained its strength, possibly crossing northern Cebu, the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said. 

Here's a list of cancelled trips due to Tropical Depression Usman:

December 26, 2018 

M/V Gloria 1 of Gabisan Shipping Lines bound for Hilongos, Leyte with ETD 1400H

M/V Gloria 3 of Gabisan Shipping Lines bound for Hilongos, Leyte with ETD 2100H

27 Dec 2018 

Ocean Jet 5 bound for Ormoc with ETD 0800H.

2Go bound for Ormoc with ETD 0800H

Lite shipping bound to Ormoc with ETD 1100H

Roble shipping bound to Hilongos Leyte with ETD 1200H

Roble shipping bound to Baybay Leyte with ETD 2100H

Roble shipping bound to Hilongos Leyte with ETD 2100H

Roble shipping bound to Ormoc with ETD 2200H

Roble shipping bound to Naval with ETD 1930H

SuperCat bound to Ormoc with ETD 0515H.

Ocean Jet bound to Ormoc with ETD 0600H.

OceanJet bound to Camotes with ETD 0600H.

 

 

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TimL

I hope that everyone says safe through this one.

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Dafey

Heavy rain early this morning in Western Leyte but all quiet now. Took the dog walking this morning on the beach in the rain, (not being cruel, she's a Lab and loves the rain and water), and the sea was flat hardly any wind.

image.thumb.png.6d1307a296ce86cdd00b3750b76cb63b.png

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Jim Sibbick
6 hours ago, Dafey said:

Heavy rain early this morning in Western Leyte but all quiet now. Took the dog walking this morning on the beach in the rain, (not being cruel, she's a Lab and loves the rain and water), and the sea was flat hardly any wind.

image.thumb.png.6d1307a296ce86cdd00b3750b76cb63b.png

From memory, you are not far from me.

Only what I would call steady rain in Palompon overnight and practically no rain during the day all though it has looked all day like it might rain.  

There is a bit of wind but not very strong. 

 

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Soupeod

Raining hard now in W. Leyte.

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Dafey
2 hours ago, Jim Sibbick said:

From memory, you are not far from me.

Only what I would call steady rain in Palompon overnight and practically no rain during the day all though it has looked all day like it might rain.  

There is a bit of wind but not very strong. 

 

Isabel...about 30 minutes from you.

2 hours ago, soupeod said:

Raining hard now in W. Leyte.

18:00 and it is coming down. Gratefully the wind is not that strong. My guess is @colemanlee is getting the worst of it in northern Leyte.

Is Cebu even getting any of this?

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MickyG

appears to have stalled off Leyte and should have already passed through but has not budged. Winds look like they may be intensifying as it has stopped?

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Woolf

Here in Talisay

Cloudy all day

no wind all day

No rain since this morning

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