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BossHog

Typhoon Yutu/Rosita (23 Oct 2018)

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RogerDuMond
16 minutes ago, Headshot said:

Where did the chart come from? First of all, the eye wall on Haiyan hit Leyte, not Samar, and the clocked wind speed was 200 mph steady and 250 mph gusts.

Making landfall is defined as the eye wall hitting land. The second of 5 landfalls was Leyte.

The first landfall happened in Guiuan town of Easter Samar at 4:40 am Friday.

https://www.rappler.com/nation/43215-yolanda-landfalls-pagasa

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oztony

Whelp ...looks like Bill's only way out of this one is to go back in time and use his powers to change events..... :hi:

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Dafey

Are we talking mph, kph or Knots?

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oztony
7 minutes ago, Dafey said:

Are we talking mph, kph or Knots?

Lets just cut to the chase and call it hsph , save any further confusion with this speed thing ...the cyclone was doing 180 head shots per hour when it made landfall .... :)

Edited by oztony
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colemanlee

these guys are pretty good

 

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Bama

Who can forget this pic showing the total destruction of Guiuan?131111122404-01-aerials-1111-horizontal-large-gallery.thumb.jpg.d85b13e6fa4bd97ad81e7db6c2920344.jpg

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Dafey
Quote

 

Incoming typhoon Rosita could follow Ompong's track

image.png.341efe8fdf537ff43d6981609241701c.png

Typhoon Yutu could follow the same track as Typhoon Ompong, which struck Northern Luzon last September.

In a Friday evening weather update on "State of the Nation with Jessica Soho," meteorologist Nathaniel Cruz reported that Typhoon Yutu could make landfall over Northern Luzon on Tuesday (October 30) or Wednesday (October 31).

Yutu will be named "Rosita" once it enters the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), which PAGASA said could happen Saturday morning.

The typhoon was still outside PAR late Wednesday evening, spotted 1,815 kilometers east of Northern Luzon and forecast to continue west at 20 kph.

It was packing maximum sustained winds moving 185  kph near the center with gustiness of up to 225 kph.

The weather disturbance could also bring rainfall to the country and raise cyclone warning signals as early as Monday. —JST, GMA News

 

https://www.msn.com/en-ph/news/technology/incoming-typhoon-rosita-could-follow-ompongs-track/ar-BBOVTgS?ocid=spartandhp

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BossHog

Rosita1818.thumb.png.6d4f0ed971bbf23cf72c1f278cbfb072.png

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Dafey

Looks like it's taking a turn for the worse, (as the Philippines goes)

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Dafey

If you watch this video you can see a little bit of Wind Sheer on the western and northwestern reaches of this storm. This won't save Luzon from a direct hit but it's a good example of sheering and how it will help diminish the power of a typhoon.

You can see the buzzsaw spinning counter clockwise but the far reaches of it's clouds move north so there is a distinct separation of winds. That's sheering.

https://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohemiloops/shirgmsw.html

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Headshot

I've been watching the forecast tracks on this storm for the last several days, and the tracks vary wildly from one day to the next, if not hour to hour. The only thing that is apparent about this storm is that the forecasters have absolutely no idea where it will go. Day before yesterday, they had it cutting across the northern part of Luzon and then slamming into Hainan. Yesterday, they had it running over the Batanes Islands north of Luzon and then putting a bullseye on Hong Kong. Today they have it plowing across central Luzon and dying out near Taiwan. Well, I guess they have all of the bases covered, so somebody can say, "Hey, look. I was right ... sort of."

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rfm010

I've been watching the forecast tracks on this storm for the last several days, and strangely enough it seems forecasted tracks have been converging quite nicely, and all agreeing on the storm maintaining a westerly path rather than the earlier expected curl to the north.                           

Looks like the price of veggies is going to go up again.

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Headshot
4 hours ago, rfm010 said:

I've been watching the forecast tracks on this storm for the last several days, and strangely enough it seems forecasted tracks have been converging quite nicely

Hahaha... Yeah, they've been all over the map with their predictions (much more than on most storms), but the different agencies have converged on the altered courses on a daily basis (even though their agreed to projections never seem to be even close to the predictions of previous days).

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BossHog

Morning update: seems Yutu has weakened quite a bit overnight but will likely still be a Cat 2/3 at Luzon landfall tomorrow morning.

Seems like landfall will be in a relatively sparsely populated area.

Had 3 meter waves here on Siargao over the weekend; it made for a very lively local surf competition. Some pretty dramatic wipe-outs.

128759427_Rosita1818-Zoom(1).thumb.png.4bdc201a052bf2bbaeccd6f4fe824318.png

 

 

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