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Tullioz

Tropical Storm may affect much of The Visayas by Monday 12Feb18

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BossHog

Yep. Starting to look like a storm.

wp0218.thumb.gif.5fbfcfa90b781915e7f2a2bfe1407eba.gif

" DUE TO A PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION AND A FORECASTED 
PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION, THE INTENSITY FORECAST FOR TS 02W 
HAS INCREASED SUBSTANTIALLY."

http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/

Edited by BossHog
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Goetz1965

Actual forecast now shows it slows down and will reach Bohol/Cebu around Tuesday - Cebu will be Tuesday night to Wednesday !

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Tullioz
44 minutes ago, Goetz1965 said:

Actual forecast now shows it slows down and will reach Bohol/Cebu around Tuesday - Cebu will be Tuesday night to Wednesday !

Looking at the satellite over the past couple of days this system has been moving fast and the latest models don't show anything getting in the way to slow it down, so the worst should be over for Cebu by lunchtime or a little after on Tuesday. It's going to be in and out pretty quick the way it's looking right now. 

Edited by Tullioz
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Woolf

Cebu Daily News

http://cebudailynews.inquirer.net/163390/pagasa-ready-basyang

Quote

 

Pagasa: Be ready for Basyang

By: Jessa Mae O. Sotto

@cebudailynews

11:15 PM February 11th, 2018

CEBUANOS are told to prepare for the coming of another tropical storm, which is expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Sunday evening.

The weather disturbance which had not yet entered the PAR as of 5 p.m. on Sunday had already turned into a tropical storm, said Weather Specialist Romeo Aguirre of the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) in an interview on Sunday.

Aguirre said once it enter’s the PAR it would be called Tropical Storm Basyang.

He described a tropical storm as a weather disturbance with a maximum sustained winds of 55 kilometers per hour (Kph)and gustiness of up to 80 Kph.

He said that Basyang would possibly make a landfall in Cebu on Monday evening or on early Tuesday morning.

“If this would happen, those who are staying in low-lying and landslide- prone areas should start evacuating,” he said in Cebuano.

He said the tropical storm is expected to intensify and traverse between Mindanao and Visayas Sea.

He said that the center of the storm is predicted to hit the southern provinces of Cebu and the rest of the region on Tuesday.

He added that this is the strongest typhoon recorded for the year yet.

Aguirre said Cebu would start to experience light to moderate and occasional heavy rains on Monday noon until Thursday when the weather would be expected to improve.

As of 5 p.m., Pagasa said that the tropical storm had been spotted last at 1,035 km east of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur outside the PAR.
Storm Signal No. 1 has been raised in Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.

 

 

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BossHog

track.thumb.png.0aecd7f570e3c3d589889a42bbac8ccb.pngBasyang0218-Zoom.thumb.png.f2021ef9f0da4649c48c232f58f5e856.png

Edited by BossHog
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hyaku

For those that have been here a while. Have we ever actually had a typhoon in February? It's amihan. Some people online scaremongering that this will turn into a Yolanda and lots of amens going around.

Edited by hyaku

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shadow
9 minutes ago, hyaku said:

and lots of amens going around.

It's GOT to be true then!

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cebubird
13 minutes ago, hyaku said:

For those that have been here a while. Have we ever actually had a typhoon in February? It's amihan. Some people online scaremongering that this will turn into a Yolanda and lots of amens going around.

"amihan"???

hmmmbut it's coming from the SOUTHeast.

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BossHog
42 minutes ago, hyaku said:

Some people online scaremongering that this will turn into a Yolanda

Not even close. Might well not even become a Cat 1 typhoon.Here's good summary with actual data as of 6:30 AM this morning:

https://weatherph.org/tropical_cyclone/ts-sanba-basyang-update-no-05/

But do note that Southern Leyte and Bohol, as well as about half of Mindanao are under Signal #1. There will be a lot of canceled boat trips on Monday and Tuesday.

And the 8 AM update from Pagasa suggests Negros Oriental will be included in the next update so likely no boats to and from Duma for the next few days:

https://www1.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/index.php/tropical-cyclones/weather-bulletins

Edited by BossHog
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Woolf

Schools could be closed tuesday 

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Headshot
1 hour ago, Woolf said:

Schools could be closed tuesday 

Is that official?

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Woolf
8 minutes ago, Headshot said:

Is that official?

NO!

just my prediction 

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Headshot
26 minutes ago, Woolf said:

NO!

just my prediction 

Well, if they declare a signal 1 for Cebu, then DepEd will close the schools on Tuesday, so you are likely right.

Edited by Headshot

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BossHog
3 minutes ago, Headshot said:

Well, if they declare a signal 1 for Cebu

Cebu and Siquijor have been added to the Signal #1 list.

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Headshot
22 minutes ago, BossHog said:

Cebu and Siquijor have been added to the Signal #1 list.

Then no school tomorrow. Of course, we will have to wait for the DepEd announcement, but their policy is no school when there is signal 1.

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